Overview: I have rolled out this strategy in an attempt to capitalize on some upside to Same Game Parlays. I consider this strategy to be high risk, but also high reward. I would recommend using somewhere around 20% of whatever your average bet is. I have laid out a strategy for a $100.00 per game bettor below, but obviously feel free to adjust your values as you see fit.
Parlay #1: $25 bet to win $150. Total of 5 picks (odds +500)
- Dallas +7.5
- Brock Purdy under 299.5 yards passing
- Dak Over 199.5 yards passing
- C. McCaffery over 59.5 yards rushing
- 49ers under 30.5 points
- D. Samuel under 79.5 yards receiving
Overall Strategy: In this scenario, I see Brock Purdy facing some early adversity. I outlined how he hasn’t faced any topline defenses, and I expect him to face a lot of pressure. Kyle Shanahan has shown that he leans on the running game behind his dominant offensive line. I see McCaffery’s success eating into the opportunities in the 49er passing game. With more running attempts, I believe it will be difficult to get over 30 points. If Dallas can keep this a 1 possession game, Prescott must have at least moderate success through the air. San Fran has one of the best run defenses in the NFL, and the path for the Dallas offense will be through the air.
Parlay #2: $25 bet to win $112.50. Total of 6 picks (odds +350)
- Bills Moneyline
- Josh Allen over 229.5 yards passing
- Joe Mixon under 74.5 yards rushing
- Ja’Marr Chase over 69.5 yards receiving
- Stefon Diggs over 64.5 yards receiving
- Bills over 20.5 points
Overall Strategy: I envision the Bills scoring lots of points as they typically do. Allen/Diggs combination is as reliable as it gets in the NFL, and I don’t think Cincinnati has an answer for them. If the Bills play from ahead, Cincinnati will likely be forced into the passing game, which should limit Joe Mixon’s opportunities. When the Bengals lost key linemen vs. the Ravens, they turned to quick passing attacks to Ja’Marr Chase. I think this will again be a focus and he should get well over 70 yards. I didn’t put a limit on Cincy’s points, so this bet doesn’t pay as much as the others. I left it open in case this turns into a shootout.
Parlay #3: $25 bet to win $137.50. Total of 5 picks (odds +450)
- Eagles -2.5
- NYG under 24.5 points
- Eagles over 21.5 points
- AJ Brown over 64.5 yards receiving
- Devonta Smith over 59.5 yards receiving
Overall Strategy: I love the Eagles pass rush to control this game, and I love the mismatches they have on the outside at receiver. Brown has gone over 64.5 in 6 straight games, while Smith has also gone over 59.5 in 6 straight. New York has scored over 24 points just 3 times all year. I don’t believe the Giants have the fire power to keep up with the Eagles, who should roll in this matchup.
Round Robin bet: $10 (3x) for a total cost of $30.
Payouts are $247.50, $330, & $270
Parlay of all 3 SGPs: $10 to win $$1,485.00 (+14750)
Total cost of all bets $115.00 for a chance to win $2,732.50
Good Luck!!
